Iran-Israel war: India faces potential gas shortage as Qatar shuts LNG output
Qatar supplies 40 per cent of the 27 million tonnes a year of LNG that India imports annually.
PTI
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While domestically produced natural gas meets just about half of the demand, India meets the rest through LNG imports.
New Delhi, 4 Mar
Qatar has halted Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) production
after its facilities came under attack amid the ongoing West Asia conflict,
disrupting supplies to India and squeezing feedstock availability for key
domestic sectors.
India, which depends on long-term LNG contracts with Qatar
for a significant share of its gas needs, has seen a temporary suspension of
cargoes, leading to supply cuts up to 40 per cent for a range of industrial
consumers and city gas distribution (CGD) companies.
While some industrial users can switch to alternative -
though costlier - fuels, the CNG-retailing city gas sector has warned of severe
stress. CGD operators said replacing contracted Qatari volumes with spot LNG
priced at more than double the contracted rate could erode CNG's price
advantage and result in a permanent shift of customers to electric vehicles.
Petronet LNG Ltd, India's largest LNG importer, hasn't been
able to send ships to Qatar to ferry LNG as the Strait of Hormuz - a narrow
shipping route through which West Asian countries, including Qatar, export most
of their oil and gas - is all but closed.
Additionally, Qatar has shut down liquefied natural gas
production at the world's largest export facility - which also supplied gas to
India - after it was targeted in an Iranian drone attack.
In a stock exchange filing, Petronet said it has sent force
majeure notice to Qatari supplier, QatarEnergy for inability to send ships.
QatarEnergy too has served a force majeure notice for
inability to serve its buyer - Petronet LNG - due to hostilities in the region.
"In light of the recent and ongoing war in the Middle
East region involving Iran and Israel, vessels are presently unable to safely
transit through the Strait of Hormuz to reach Ras Laffan, the loading port of
QatarEnergy," Petronet said.
"Considering the prevailing security situation and the
material risks posed to maritime navigation, the company (Petronet) has issued
a force majeure notice to QatarEnergy in respect of its LNG tankers, namely
Disha, Raahi, and Aseem.
Petronet said it has, in turn, issued corresponding force
majeure notices to its downstream off-takers.
Qatar supplies 40 per cent of the 27 million tonnes a year
of LNG that India imports annually.
The supply cuts have also been affected on city gas firms,
which have written to government-owned gas utility GAIL, expressing concerns
over the availability of domestic gas and LNG to meet the requirements of CNGfor automobiles and piped cooking gas for households.
The Association of CGD Entities (ACE) in a March 3 letter to
GAIL chairman and managing director said the reduction in supply of low-priced
gas to 60 per cent and restriction of spot or current market supply to zero
"are likely to have a significant impact on gas availability to the
sector, which may adversely affect the priority segments.
"We request clarity and confirmation regarding the
sustained availability of gas to the city gas sector so that the sector can
continue to serve the aspirations and objectives set by the Government of India
for providing a reliable and sustained energy to smaller customer segments in
the remotest corners of the country," it said.
Stating that the association members remain committed to
supplying energy to households, CNG customers, small industries and commercial
consumers, it sought "continued visibility and guidance on gas supply to
the CGD sector during the crisis period.
"A line of confirmation about continuity of gas supply
to the city gas sector during the crisis period will be helpful," it
added.
While domestically produced natural gas meets just about
half of the demand, India meets the rest through LNG imports.
LNG is a gas that has been cooled far below freezing point
into liquid form to allow storage and transport over long distances. Petronet
LNG imports such liquid gas and then regasifies it (back to gas) at its R-LNG
terminals in Dahej in Gujarat, and Kochi in Kerala. The fuel is feedstock for
producing fertilisers, generating electricity and raw material for city gas
entities.
QatarEnergy, in a statement, said, "Due to military
attacks on QatarEnergy's operating facilities in Ras Laffan Industrial City and
Mesaieed Industrial City in the State of Qatar, QatarEnergy has ceased
production of LNG and associated products."
The United States and Israel launched military strikes on
targets in Iran over the weekend. Tehran retaliated with missiles and drones
aimed at Israel and countries hosting US forces, including the United Arab
Emirates, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, Iraq, Jordan and Saudi Arabia.
Media reports suggest the conflict has effectively closed
the Strait of Hormuz, a key conduit for global energy flows. Roughly one-third
of the world's seaborne crude oil exports and about 20 per cent of liquefied
natural gas shipments transit the narrow waterway.
As much as 20.8 million barrels per day of oil and products
typically transit the Strait. Over 80 per cent of this goes to the Asian
markets, including India. About 20 per cent of global LNG supply also passes
through this narrow waterway.
For India, the Strait, controlled by Iran, is a transit for
roughly 50 per cent of its crude oil imports and around 54 per cent of its LNG
supplies.
It is the transit for not just LNG from Qatar but also from
the UAE.
Reports suggest just 26 vessels (all segments) traversed the
Strait - down sharply from 91 on 28 February and well below February's 135 a
day average - after the US/Israeli strikes on Iran rattled the region.
Petronet said it has also issued force majeure notices on
gas offtakers - GAIL, Indian Oil Corporation (IOC), and Bharat
PetroleumCorporation Ltd (BPCL).
"Acts of war are also excluded under BusinessInterruption Insurance covers taken by Petronet LNG," it said.
Petronet has a long-term contract to buy 8.5 million tonnes
per annum of LNG from Qatar. Additionally, it buys Qatari LNG from the spot
market as well. Besides Petronet, companies such as IOC have LNG import
contracts with the UAE.
Sources said GAIL and IOC are looking at tapping the spot or
current market to meet the shortfall, but prices have firmed up. LNG in the
spot market is now at USD 25 per million British thermal unit, roughly double
the term contract rates.
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